Thursday, July 27, 2006

By 2010 there will be more 55-to-64 year-olds than 15-to-24 year-olds in the European Union

Times Leader:

The growing number of older Europeans, coupled with low birth rates across the 25-nation bloc, is giving lawmakers a big headache. At issue is how to financially shoulder the burden of an aging society while staying competitive globally and finding workable incentives for people to have more babies.

“It’s getting worse and worse. If things continue like this, no one is ever going to get to retire,” said Roni Howath, 56, a former Vienna postal worker who retired early and now drives a cab from time to time to supplement his monthly pension.

In the past, European taxpayers relied on generous national pension plans fueled in part by those still working. But in recent years, many governments have made severe cutbacks amid fears that with fewer people paying into the system, there will be less money to dole out.

Experts say the impact of an ever-grayer Europe will be felt throughout society.

According to a recent EU report, the bloc’s working age population is projected to fall by 48 million, or 16 percent, between 2010 and 2050, while the number of seniors is expected to rise sharply by 58 million, or 77 percent.

Europe will go from having four people of working age for every senior citizen to a ratio of two to one by 2050, predicts the report by the Economic Policy Committee and the European Commission.

“Without exaggeration, one could say that what is going to happen on average in the next 25 years is really something we have never seen before,” said Bernd Marin, executive director of the Vienna-based European Centre for Social Welfare Policy and Research. “It has implications for everything.”

Already, it’s clear that people will have to work longer before retiring.

Most companies think older workers are “inflexible” and prefer hiring younger workers instead of retraining or retaining older ones, he added.

That trend could add pressure to younger people struggling to balance job responsibilities against the need to play a bigger role in caring for aging parents.

“Younger people are going to do a lot more in formal care. They will have to struggle hard with work and taking care of family. There’s going to be a collision of pressures here,” said Peter Taylor-Gooby, professor of social policy at the University of Kent in England.

Europe Faces Challenge of Aging Population

Poll: Most People Unaware Of The Age When Fertility Begins To Decline

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