Canadian Conservatives and the Sailer Strategy

Kevin Michael Grace:

I have consistently underestimated Stephen Harper throughout his career, and his victory is a tribute to his ambition and tenacity. That said, when examined closely, this victory looks very much like a defeat.

Every quarter-century or so, the endemic corruption and arrogance of the Liberals so disgusts Canadians that they take a flyer on the Conservatives. This occurred in 1930, 1958 and 1984.

This year, 2006, should have been another Conservative majority year. All the stars were in alignment. Paul Martin was a weak and inept leader, nicknamed “Mr. Dithers” or “Dumpling.” His Liberals had been torn apart by ongoing civil war. The so-called “Adscam” bribery scandal, perpetrated by Martin’s predecessor, Jean Chrétien, simply refused to die. Finally, the Liberal election campaign was a shambles.

Harper, however, managed to win only 114 of 233 seats in English Canada. This is a worse showing (after adjusting for House of Commons seat inflation) than managed by Clark or the other great Conservative loser, Robert Stanfield.

Harper did so poorly in English Canada because he once again rejected the Sailer Strategy: he refused to graze where the grass is. Despite torrential recent Third World immigration, Canada is still overwhelmingly white: 86% at the time of the 2001 census. Voters of non-European origin, who tend to be concentrated in Canada’s three largest cities, Toronto, Montreal and Vancouver, are stubbornly Liberal in loyalty and show no sign of changing allegiance.

Despite this, Harper pandered to immigrant voters (and even to Tamil terrorists). And failed with them just as miserably as he did in 2004 (and George W. Bush has done with Hispanics): the Tories were crushed in Greater Toronto and Greater Vancouver and shut out in Montreal.

In his support of Liberal immigration policy (chain migration or “family reunification”) plus ever-increasing numbers (slated to rise from 245,000, the highest legal rate in the world, to 320,000: 1% per capita per year), Harper and his Conservatives continue to conspire in their own destruction.

Sound familiar, Republicans?

Voters in 3 major cities shut out Conservatives

The inevitable happens in Canada - U.S. next?

Good comments about immigrant support for the Liberals